Italy: Gianluigi Donnarumma; Emerson, Alessandro Bastoni, Leonardo Bonucci (captain), Rafael Toloi; Matteo Pessina, Jorginho, Marco Verratti, Federico Chiesa, Federico Bernardeschi; Andrea Belotti
Wales: Danny Ward; Chris Gunter, Neco Williams, Joe Rodon, Connor Roberts, Ethan Ampadu; Joe Allen, Aaron Ramsey, Joe Morrell; Daniel James, Gareth Bale (captain)
Switzerland goalkeeper Yann Sommer is a doubt for the match after the birth of his second child. The goalkeeper flew back to Germany to accompany his partner, on Thursday.
Denis Zakaria could be in line for his first start in the competition as Petkovic will look to reshape his squad in order to shake off their midweek defeat.
As if reading lines from an identical script, the Wales players have delivered the same message over and over in these past few days: they go into today’s game against Italy with “no pressure” and “no fear”. It is an approach that has served them well so far, especially in their stirring victory over Turkey, and there is clearly no reason to change it now.
The trip to Rome, however, will provide the sternest test yet of these principles. Firstly, because Italy are the most formidable team in the tournament, on the basis of their opening two matches at least. Secondly, because Wales now have something to lose. Second place in Group A is within their grasp and there must be a temptation, however slight, to cling onto what they have rather than push for more.
If Wales beat Italy, they will finish in first place and travel to Wembley. If they draw, they will guarantee second place and a knockout tie in Amsterdam. If they lose, it becomes a little more complicated — even if third should still be enough to take them through. Wales are three points clear of Switzerland, with a superior goal difference of five. They can probably lose to Italy and still finish second, provided they do not receive a thrashing from Roberto Mancini’s side.
Avoiding a heavy defeat is unfortunately easier said than done. Italy have resembled a footballing juggernaut in these first days of the tournament, racking up commanding 3-0 victories over both Turkey and Switzerland. They look defensively secure and offensively dangerous, and they boast one of the continent’s most exciting midfields.
Turkey’s chances of progression are even slimmer. Three points are becoming more unlikely by the day to be enough to reach the last 16 and when factoring in their goal difference of minus five, it’s improbable that they will be one of the best four third-place finishers even if they do win this game.
It’s a must-win for both Turkey and Switzerland as the bottom two look to keep their Euro 2020 hopes alive.
Both nations were on the wrong of a 3-0 scoreline as Roberto Mancini’s Italy eased past both sides.
Our prediction: Switzerland v Turkey
Turkey have been disappointing in their opening two games and have not shown enough fight to worry their opposing teams, let alone look like scoring.
Switzerland have greater motivation to finish in third and progress, and the talent of Breel Embolo should cause Turkey’s defence some problems.
Xherdan Shaqiri is yet to reach his full potential at Euro 2020, but the creative midfielder, alongside key man Granit Xhaka, will be ready to up his game to overcome Turkey.
Vladimir Petković’s men have the advantage going into the match in the complexion of their hopes of finishing among the four best third-placed teams in the tournament following their 1-1 draw with Wales.
Meanwhile Turkey, managed by Şenol Güneş, face the uphill task of hacking away their minus-five goal difference ahead of the final group stage on Sunday as Wednesday’s 2-0 defeat to Wales compiled their misery.